Post by S u N f r O s t ~ on Jun 13, 2012 16:08:09 GMT -5
Hello everybody. This is an anonymous reporter for the Gallop about to tell you the top contenders for this year's year end awards. I know that it's getting to be that time of year and we're all wondering who will win what. Here is my educated analysis.
(And before I hear anything, I've probably forgotten to include a couple of horses in my analysis. Just because yours isn't here doesn't mean he/she is not a contender for that award. I just forgot them xD )
Best Two Year Old Colt
This is a toss up between many skilled colts; Instant Success, Infinite Warcry, Euphoria's Warrior and Forbidden To Fly all stand a chance of winning this. In my opinion, the most likely winner, as it stands right now, will be Instant Success. However, this award may hinge on whoever wins the Juvenile. Warrior, Isa and Fly are all declared for this race. Infini is declared for the Juvenile Turf, but he doesn't have the backing that those three main dirt colts too and likely will not take this award even if he wins the Juvenile Turf.
Best Two Year Old Filly
I think that no matter how badly she may do in the Breeders Cup, Paradise Island is a shoo-in for this award. She has the fan base behind her. Of course, serious contenders for this award are also After Dusk and Eternal Phantom. I find Dusk to be a bit less likely than Sonja or Phantie because she doesn't have that rivalry going on that those two fillies and Isa do. I believe the winner of this award will depend on who wins the Juvenile. However, Sonja has also been declared for the Juvenile Turf as a potential candidate, so time will tell if Phantie or Dusk will be able to sway favor in their direction for this award. Sugar Jayde will also be in contention here.
Best Three Year Old Colt
There is a three way tie here between Sunset Crusade, Executioner's Apprentice and Flashy Wings. All have been incredibly successful this year and all have reached grade one. In terms of wins, though Flash won both the Preakness and Belmont his season wins are less than both App and Cruz. App has been competing fiercely lately and is no doubt the top three year old turf colt. However, Cruz is also backing a loyal following on the dirt. Flash and Cruz may face off in the Classic, while App has been confirmed as a sure entrant and likely favorite for the Mile. I believe that if neither Flash nor Cruz win or place in the Classic, App will win this award. Dark Charmer could also be considered for this award but would be somewhat of a surprise if he won.
Best Three Year Old Filly
Afterglow or Silverianna will take this award. Seraphim or Beltane will also challenge. However, I believe the former two fillies stand the better chance. Ianna did win two legs of the Triple Tiara, but Afterglow has beat her on many occasions, and the same can be said for Ianna. Thus far, both fillies may go to the Ladies Classic, or they may go to separate races. I believe both should go to the Ladies Classic - the sport needs the excitement such a meeting would generate, and I think I wouldn't be the only one on the edge of my seat during that race if they were entered!
Best Older Horse
Pegasus Wings, Bank On Greatness or Here's The King could all challenge for this award. Right now, I think it's between Greatness and Asus. Both have some fantastic records, though Greatness is kind of overshadowed in that respect for this award by stablemate Vindictive Fury in terms of record. I think Asus is the most likely winner right now, given that he has the more wins this season as compared to King, though this of course may change. This award is more up in the air than the others and will be an interesting one to vote on.
Best Older Mare
Kill me now, because this one has so many eligible and deserving contenders that it is ridiculous. Eligible for this award are Moondance, Vindictive Fury, Born To Soar, White Chocolate, Terror Smile, Wildly Natural...those are the first few names which come to mind, and the Breeders Cup will be integral when deciding this award. As it stands, either Vinny or Chocolate will win this, though if Mona pulls a repeat win in the Classic her odds go up considerably. Tura also stands an excellent chance here, as her record this season is equally impressive.
Best Dirt Horse
This is too tough. Just look at what's above. Those horses I named that race purely on the dirt are all contenders. I can think of not one horse in particular who should be getting this award. There are just too many excellent horses.
Best Turf Horse
This is likely to be either Wildly Natural or Executioner's Apprentice. Those two are the top runners in their division. Other turf horses will of course be nominated, but they are the top contenders for this right now.
That is all for now. Please feel free to post your own comments below! Healthy discussion is always fun.
(And before I hear anything, I've probably forgotten to include a couple of horses in my analysis. Just because yours isn't here doesn't mean he/she is not a contender for that award. I just forgot them xD )
Best Two Year Old Colt
This is a toss up between many skilled colts; Instant Success, Infinite Warcry, Euphoria's Warrior and Forbidden To Fly all stand a chance of winning this. In my opinion, the most likely winner, as it stands right now, will be Instant Success. However, this award may hinge on whoever wins the Juvenile. Warrior, Isa and Fly are all declared for this race. Infini is declared for the Juvenile Turf, but he doesn't have the backing that those three main dirt colts too and likely will not take this award even if he wins the Juvenile Turf.
Best Two Year Old Filly
I think that no matter how badly she may do in the Breeders Cup, Paradise Island is a shoo-in for this award. She has the fan base behind her. Of course, serious contenders for this award are also After Dusk and Eternal Phantom. I find Dusk to be a bit less likely than Sonja or Phantie because she doesn't have that rivalry going on that those two fillies and Isa do. I believe the winner of this award will depend on who wins the Juvenile. However, Sonja has also been declared for the Juvenile Turf as a potential candidate, so time will tell if Phantie or Dusk will be able to sway favor in their direction for this award. Sugar Jayde will also be in contention here.
Best Three Year Old Colt
There is a three way tie here between Sunset Crusade, Executioner's Apprentice and Flashy Wings. All have been incredibly successful this year and all have reached grade one. In terms of wins, though Flash won both the Preakness and Belmont his season wins are less than both App and Cruz. App has been competing fiercely lately and is no doubt the top three year old turf colt. However, Cruz is also backing a loyal following on the dirt. Flash and Cruz may face off in the Classic, while App has been confirmed as a sure entrant and likely favorite for the Mile. I believe that if neither Flash nor Cruz win or place in the Classic, App will win this award. Dark Charmer could also be considered for this award but would be somewhat of a surprise if he won.
Best Three Year Old Filly
Afterglow or Silverianna will take this award. Seraphim or Beltane will also challenge. However, I believe the former two fillies stand the better chance. Ianna did win two legs of the Triple Tiara, but Afterglow has beat her on many occasions, and the same can be said for Ianna. Thus far, both fillies may go to the Ladies Classic, or they may go to separate races. I believe both should go to the Ladies Classic - the sport needs the excitement such a meeting would generate, and I think I wouldn't be the only one on the edge of my seat during that race if they were entered!
Best Older Horse
Pegasus Wings, Bank On Greatness or Here's The King could all challenge for this award. Right now, I think it's between Greatness and Asus. Both have some fantastic records, though Greatness is kind of overshadowed in that respect for this award by stablemate Vindictive Fury in terms of record. I think Asus is the most likely winner right now, given that he has the more wins this season as compared to King, though this of course may change. This award is more up in the air than the others and will be an interesting one to vote on.
Best Older Mare
Kill me now, because this one has so many eligible and deserving contenders that it is ridiculous. Eligible for this award are Moondance, Vindictive Fury, Born To Soar, White Chocolate, Terror Smile, Wildly Natural...those are the first few names which come to mind, and the Breeders Cup will be integral when deciding this award. As it stands, either Vinny or Chocolate will win this, though if Mona pulls a repeat win in the Classic her odds go up considerably. Tura also stands an excellent chance here, as her record this season is equally impressive.
Best Dirt Horse
This is too tough. Just look at what's above. Those horses I named that race purely on the dirt are all contenders. I can think of not one horse in particular who should be getting this award. There are just too many excellent horses.
Best Turf Horse
This is likely to be either Wildly Natural or Executioner's Apprentice. Those two are the top runners in their division. Other turf horses will of course be nominated, but they are the top contenders for this right now.
That is all for now. Please feel free to post your own comments below! Healthy discussion is always fun.